Lite Forecasting Guide (No Big Movies)


Solar Disk Observations Section

Latest AIA Observations

Below shows the Latest HMI-B image (Top Image), Latest AIA 304Å image (Middle Image), and latest AIA 193Å image (Bottom Image). Data courtesy of the SDO/AIA/HMI mission teams, NASA.

HMIB


AIA_304


AIA_193

CMEs Section

CACTUS

Below shows the latest CME detections, courtesy of the CACTus CME catalog, generated and maintained by the SIDC at the Royal Observatory of Belgium.

Cactus detections

Flare Observations Section

GOES 3 Day Flux

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Goes 3-day Plot

Latest GOES Flare Data

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flare detections, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Created: 2020 Apr 08 0547 UT
Date: 2020 04 08
#Event Begin Max End Obs Q Type Loc/Frq Particulars Reg#
NO EVENT REPORTS.

Proton Observations Section

GOES Proton Flux

Below shows the latest GOES Proton flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

3 Day Proton flux

F10.7 - Radio Indexes Section

DRAO Flux

Below shows the latest Solar Radio Flux Report courtesy of DRAO, Penticton.

Observed Flux Density68.9
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U.69.1

The Solar Wind Conditions Section

ACE 24 hr Data

Below shows the latest ACE space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

24 hour ACE data

DSCOVR data

Below shows the latest DSCOVR space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA and the latest GFZ Postdam Kp measurement. The data is processed by the University of Graz.

Latest DSCOVR data

ENLIL Simulation

Below shows the latest simulation from ENLIL courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest ENLIL Simulation

The Geomagnetic Conditions Section

NOAA kp Values

Below shows the latest Planetary K index courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest NOAA kp Values

Forecast Center Section

Solar Activity Monitor

Below shows the latest solar activity courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Solar X-rays : Status
Geomagnetic Field : Status

Latest SIDC Forecast

Below shows the latest SIDC Forecast.

SIDC URSIGRAM 00407
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 07 Apr 2020, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 07 Apr 2020 until 09 Apr 2020)
SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Apr 2020 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Apr 2020 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Apr 2020 10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 011
---
COMMENT: Solar flaring activity was very low though former region NOAA 2759
did produce a B flare.
There are no spotted regions on disk and Solar flaring is expected to
remain below C level over the next days.
No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in the
available coronagraphic imagery.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24
hours and is expected to stay at nominal levels.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate levels the past 24
hours and expected to remain so.
A negative polarity low latitude coronal hole in the southern hemisphere is
crossing the central meridian and is expected to influence solar wind
conditions starting April 11.
Solar wind displayed a slow Solar wind regime, with speed in the 300-350
km/s range. Total magnetic field was around a nominal 3nT with a variable
Bz. The magnetic field phi angle settled firmly in the negative sector.
Largely nominal Solar wind conditions are expected over the next days
although some elevations are possible related to some small isolated
equatorial coronal holes. More significant enhancements may be expected by
April 11, due to the coronal hole currently transiting the central
meridian.
Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (local K Dourbes 0-2 and NOAA Kp 0-1).
Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next days.
---
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 26 STATIONS.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 06 Apr 2020
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 070
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 004
AK WINGST : 002
ESTIMATED AP : 002
ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 37 STATIONS.
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
BT

Latest SWPC Forecast

Below shows the latest SWPC Forecast.

---
Solar Activity
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was very low. Region 2759 (N28, L=263) remained spotless,
but active, producing low level flares early in the UTC day. There were
no Earth-directed CMEs observed in available coronagraph imagery.
---
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels on 08-10 Apr.
---
Energetic Particles
---
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels. The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux maintained background levels.
---
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at moderate
levels through 10 Apr. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected
to continue at background levels.
---
Solar Wind
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were at background levels. Solar wind speeds
averaged between 300-338 km/s throughout the day. Total field was 6 nT
or less, and Bz was mostly not of note until late in the UTC day when it
began to deviate southward in excess of -5 nT. Phi was negative.
---
.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are likely to be at nominal levels through 9 Apr,
then become elevated late on 10 Apr with the arrival of a
polar-connected, negative polarity CH HSS. There is a slight chance for
an isolated disturbance on 8 Apr as a result of a smaller, negative CH
HSS that is near a geoeffective position. Otherwise background levels
are expected for much of the next 3 days until the main feature arrives
late on 10 Apr.
---
Geospace
---
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
---
.Forecast...
A small disturbance may briefly elevate levels to unsettled on 8 Apr,
otherwise quiet conditions are anticipated for most of the forecast
period. Day 3 (10 Apr) is expected to be mostly quiet until late in the
UTC day when levels are expected to become unsettled with the arrival of
a polar-connected, negative polarity CH HSS.

Future Observations Section

Stonyhurst Heliographic image

Below shows the latest Stonyhurst Heliographic image, composed of STEREO EUVI observations. Data courtesy of the STEREO/SECCHI mission teams, NASA/GSFC.

Stonyhurst Image

Links Section

Viewers Links


Regions Links


Flare Links


Energetic Particle Links


Radio Links


CME Links


Solar Wind Links


Geomagnetism Links


Forecaster Center Links


Other Links